We conclude therefore that monetary policy plays a vital role in. An empirical evaluation of the impact of exchange rate on. However, the fixed exchange rate policy was implemented using different systems depending on the. Nigeria has followed in the footsteps of south africa by opting for a freefloating exchange rate regime. The exchange rate has been stable for some time now, but. It is however, not the intention of this paper to dwell on this. The main objectives of exchange rate policy in nigeria are to preserve the value of the domestic currency, maintain a favorable external reserves position and ensure external balance without compromise the need for internal balance and the overall goal of macroeconomic stability. Nigeria overall economic performance since independence in 1960 has been decidedly unimpressive. Following the adoption of structural adjustment policy sap in 1986, the country has moved from a peg regime to a flexible exchange rate regime. Exchange rate depreciation and the structure of sectoral prices in nigeria under an alternative pricing regime, 198689 by olu ajakaiye and ode ojowu, research paper 25. The usdngn spot exchange rate specifies how much one currency, the usd, is currently worth in terms of the other, the ngn.
The impact of monetary policy on the exchange rate. Nigeria s move from a fixed to a floating exchangerate policy editions. Exchange rate misalignment under different exchange. It is the required amount of units of a currency that can buy another amount of units of another currency. The new foreign exchange policy the guardian nigeria. The impact of exchange rate on nigeria nonoil exports.
It can be said that one of the factors determining the way exchange rate fluctuations affect economic growth is the development level of each countrys financial markets. Pdf effect of foreign exchange rate fluctuations on. Impact of exchange rate on agriculture and manufacturing. A macroeconomic implications by tony elumelu economic theory is replete with definitions and types of interest rates.
Charles robertson, global chief economist at renaissance capital in london, believes that nigeria is preparing to unify its exchangerate system this year. According to kinggeorge 20, the effect of exchange rate fluctuations on the nigeria manufacturing sector was set to find out the effect of exchange rate on the nigeria. He defined a stable naira exchange rate as being of overriding importance. The effect of exchange rate fluctuations on economic growth varies in different countries. In nigeria up to the time of structural adjusted programme sap, it appeared that nigerians exchange rate policy tended to encourage overvaluation of the naira, because in 1981, it was 0.
Since the release of this new policy, questions have been raised pertaining to whether this policy initiative would actually reduce the rate of exchange at the parallel market and therefore lead. Policies in nigeria, by mike kwanashie, abdulganiyu garba and isaac ajilima, research paper 57 price and exchange rate dynamics in kenya. This frequent appreciation of the dollar against the naira has led to sharp drop in private domestic investment in the country see fig. Since the adoption of exchange rate deregulation policy in nigeria, the exchange rate, which is the price of domestic currency in terms of foreign currency, has become so volatile. Makin department of economics, the university of queensland, australia keywords. The pegged exchange rate system was the first exchange rate regime adopted in nigeria. The importance, effect, causes, relationship, comparison, history, role, solutions are discussed. The central bank of nigeria should put in place a strict foreign exchange policy control to ensure that the value of naira against other currency is properly. Cbn monetary policy rate mpr 2006 2016 nairametrics. This study investigated the effect of exchange rate fluctuations on nigerian economy. Credit ceiling, sectoral credit allocation, administrative control of interest and exchange rates, moral suasion, movements of. This page provides nigeria interest rate actual values, historical data, forecast, chart, statistics, economic calendar and news. Obsession with a number exchange rate rather than the process exchange rate policy 40. The cbn was specifically set up to manage the countrys currency with the objective of attaining a sound and stable national currency.
A granger causality impact assessment find, read and cite all the research. Aside this also is the snail speed situation of the development of. The price level is determined by monetary policy, with an excess of money supply over modeled money demand driving price rises. It demonstrates the need for monetary authorities to learn from past exchange rate management and come up with a monetary policy framework that complimes the existing exchange rate policy and ensures stability. Effect of exchange rate fluctuations on manufacturing. The rate is is the official benchmark rate of the cbn and the rate at which it lends money to commercial banks. Nigerias foreign exchange policy is controversial razia. The implications of the exchange rate regime and fiscal policy are discussed.
There are different types of exchange rate regimes practiced all over the world. Exchange rate fluctuation on nigeria economic growth. In nigeria, the management of the exchange rate is carried out by the central bank of nigeria. The effects of trade and exchange rate policies on agriculture in. Nigerias dual exchangerate system may be ending the. Because the exchange rate regime is an important part of every countrys economic and monetary policy, policymakers need a common language for discussing exchange rate matters. Emefiele first introduced the dual exchange rates amid a severe shortage of foreign exchange after the 2014 oil price crash. Determinants of inflation, exchange rate, and output in nigeria. While the usdngn spot exchange rate is quoted and exchanged in the same day, the usdngn forward rate is quoted today but for delivery and payment on a specific future date.
The impact of exchange rate fluctuations on private. See diagram with arrows and the table below for the possible effect of the three global scenarios. The importance, how to, effect causes relationship, comparison, history, role, solutions are discussed. Brexit uncertainty increased pressure on nigeria s in. Certain policy implications arise from this finding. Section ii presents data on nigeria and indonesia and compares their policies. The countrys currency experienced a continuous appreciation except for. The main objectives of exchange rate policy in nigeria are to preserve the value of the domestic currency, maintain a favourable external reserves position and ensure external balance without compromising the need for internal balance and the overall goal of macroeconomic stability. Nigeria s foreign exchange policy is controversial razia khan, standard chartered bank.
Central bank of nigeria monetary policy instruments two types of instruments direct and indirect direct monetary policy instruments is characterized by the use of. Some factors which cause variations in the exchange rate are government policy, interaction of demand and. Newly introduced foreign exchange policy will strengthen. The cbn monetary policy rate mpr is determined by the cbn monetary policy committee periodically. Exchange rate depreciation, budget deficit and inflation the nigerian experience b fy. In a free market economy the exchange rate of a currency is determined by the interplay of supply and demand for that currency, the major objectives of exchange rate in nigeria are to preserve the value of the domestic currency, maintain a favourable externally reserve position and ensure price stability. The gains of the dual exchangerate system have been had. Towards the end of 1985, the government allowed the. The newly introduced foreign exchange policy by the central bank of nigeria cbn will help shore up the naira, an official of the bank has said. The dual system, he says, doesnt encourage investors and can encourage corruption. The official exchange rate is determined by the monetary authoritycentral bank, while the market exchange rate is basically determined by market forces of demand and supply. This is approved for students in accountancy, business, computer science, economics, engineering, arts. An empirical evaluation of the impact of exchange rate on the nigeria economy ayodele thomas d. Afriheritage policy working paper 2018001 africa portal.
Original research article foreign exchange management in. The impact of exchange rate fluctuation on the nigerian. It has developed from a fixed parit y in 1960 when it was so lely tied with the british pound sterling. Exchange rate policy vs exchange rate floating exchange rate value of currency is allowed to fluctuate in response to forex market dynamics demand and supply a currencys value is pegged against either the value of another single currency dollar, to a basket of other currencies, or to another measure of value, such as gold. The analysis of exchange rate fluctuation on nigerias.
Exchange rate policy in nigeria has under gone a good number of changes. Effect of exchange rates on manufacturing sector growth in. The first ease of the nigerian exchange rate policy began in 1959 with the establishment of the central bank of nigeria cbn. Exchange rate behaviour and trade balances in nigeria. Effects of exchange rate fluctuations on economic growth. Exchange rate fluctuation on nige ria economic growth is an important economy metric as it reflects underlying strength and competitiveness with world economies asinya and takon, 2014. Get free research paper on monetary policy and exchange rate in nigeria our project topics and materials are suitable for students in nigeria with case studies in pdf, doc. When the demand for foreign exchange exceeds supply, the value of the naira will go up, and if exchange rate. Minimum discount rate mdr had a negative influence on the banks deposit liabilities in nigeria, whereas exchange rate exr had a positive and significant influence on the banks deposit liabilities in nigeria. Market interest rates incorporate a risk premium, but the change in the market interest rate is a good proxy for the policy surprise, as the risk premium is unlikely to move in the short time periods used in the event. Impact of exchange rate fluctuation on nige rias economic growth 19812015, full project materials. According to analysts at the albright stonebridge advisory group, the overvaluation of the naira has made nigeria a less attractive. Get free research paper on impact of exchange rate policy on nonoil exports in the nigerian economy 19992014 project topics and materials in nigeria. The fixed and floating exchange eras were compared to know the exchange rate system in which the economy has fairly better.
Pdf on jan 1, 2017, felicia akujinma anyanwu and others published exchange rate policy and nigeria s economic growth. Pdf exchange rate policy and nigerias economic growth. Exchange rate and macroeconomic performance in nigeria. Nigeria is mostly impacted by the level of agricultural production, exchange rate movements, money supply and aggregate demand. Pdf the impact of exchange rate regimes on economic. The balance of payments and the exchange rate anthony j. The use of the exchange rate as an instrument of control in the.
789 368 904 687 311 1198 894 349 792 833 9 310 172 916 626 532 141 571 1591 819 118 1150 481 537 969 575 1113 1103 820 259 835 1440